By: CA Anil K. Jain
Chartered Accountant | Economist | Policy Researcher | Author
President – Ahimsa Foundation India
Email: CAINDIA@HOTMAIL.COM
BRICS 2026 in New
Delhi highlights India’s growing role in a multipolar world. With 11 members
representing nearly half the global population, BRICS seeks stronger trade,
development finance, energy security and local-currency settlements. India
should pursue strategic autonomy—diversifying partnerships without replacing
dollar dependence with Chinese or Russian dependence.
The 18th
BRICS Leaders’ Summit, being held in New Delhi on 12–13 September 2026, is
taking place at a time of major global geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
India is chairing BRICS for the fourth time under the theme “Building for
Resilience, Innovation, Cooperation and Sustainability.” BRICS has expanded
considerably from its original composition and now includes 11 full members and
10 partner countries. Together, its members account for roughly 49.5% of the
world’s population, about 40% of global GDP and around 26% of global trade.
This gives the grouping substantial economic and political importance.
The significance of the New
Delhi summit lies not only in the enlarged size of BRICS but also in the global
circumstances surrounding it. The world is facing continuing conflict in
Ukraine, instability in West Asia, disruptions to energy supplies, intensifying
US-China competition, tariff conflicts, sanctions and growing debate over the
international role of the US dollar. For India, BRICS has therefore become an
important instrument of strategic autonomy: a means of maintaining strong
relations with the United States and Europe while simultaneously developing
closer ties with Russia, the Gulf, Africa, the Global South and, where
possible, China.
BRICS began as an economic
concept. In 2001, economist Jim O’Neill coined the acronym “BRIC” for Brazil,
Russia, India and China. Political coordination among these countries developed
from 2006, and the first leaders’ summit was held in Yekaterinburg, Russia, in
2009. South Africa joined in 2011, turning BRIC into BRICS. A major expansion
followed the 2023 Johannesburg Summit: Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and
the United Arab Emirates joined, while Indonesia became the eleventh full
member in January 2025. BRICS has thus evolved from an investment concept into
a broad platform representing emerging economies and the Global South. It is
neither a military alliance like NATO nor a supranational body like the
European Union; it remains a consensus-based intergovernmental grouping working
mainly on political-security, economic-financial and people-to-people
cooperation.
The current full members are Brazil,
Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the
UAE and Indonesia. Ten partner countries include Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba,
Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan and Vietnam.
Expansion has increased BRICS’ geopolitical reach, especially because the
grouping now includes major energy producers, large consumer markets and
countries occupying important shipping and trade corridors. However, expansion
has also created internal difficulties. India and China remain strategic
competitors; Russia is in confrontation with the West; Iran and Gulf states
have differing regional interests; and countries such as India, Saudi Arabia
and the UAE maintain important relations with Washington. The central challenge
is therefore to increase BRICS’ influence without allowing internal differences
to paralyse decision-making.
One of BRICS’ most concrete
achievements has been the New Development Bank (NDB). Established after the
2014 Fortaleza Summit and operational since 2015, it has an authorised capital
of US$100 billion. By the end of 2025, it had approved around US$42.9 billion
for 139 projects, including transport, clean energy, water, sanitation,
environmental protection and digital infrastructure. The NDB is important
because BRICS members argue that the IMF and World Bank do not adequately
reflect the economic weight of developing countries. BRICS therefore seeks not
necessarily to destroy existing institutions but to create alternative sources
of finance and press for reform of the wider multilateral system.
The 2026 summit is occurring
amid four broad shifts: movement toward a more multipolar world, fragmentation
of global trade through tariffs and sanctions, growing concern over financial
sovereignty, and the increasing political importance of the Global South.
India’s objective is to prevent BRICS from becoming an explicitly anti-American
organisation while at the same time resisting excessive dependence on any one
country or currency. Its preferred approach is therefore multipolarity rather
than anti-Americanism.
Issues expected to be
discussed in New Delhi include multilateral reform, trade and investment, food
and energy security, healthcare, technology, resilient supply chains and
disaster resilience. India has promoted proposals such as a BRICS Incubator
Network, a BRICS Start-up Innovation Fund and a BRICS Logistics Supply-Chain
Cooperation Framework. Digital connectivity, smart grids, energy storage,
MSMEs, skills, employment and public health are also important elements of
India’s chairmanship. Behind these developmental themes, however, lie difficult
geopolitical questions involving Ukraine, West Asia, sanctions, US trade
pressure, India-China relations and international payments.
The most debated economic
issue is whether BRICS intends to replace the US dollar. The article stresses
that there is no agreed common BRICS currency comparable to the euro, and India
is not advocating an immediate end to dollar use. The more realistic objective
is to increase settlement of bilateral trade in national currencies, improve
interoperability between payment systems and potentially link central-bank
digital currencies. India has supported greater use of local currencies and
better connectivity involving systems such as UPI.
The dollar, however, cannot
easily be displaced. According to the figures cited in the article, it
represented about 57.13% of global allocated foreign-exchange reserves in early
2026, while total foreign-exchange reserves stood at about US$13.10 trillion.
The dollar retains major advantages because of deep American financial markets,
US Treasury liquidity, global banking infrastructure and the network effect
created by its widespread use. Consequently, de-dollarisation is likely to be
gradual rather than revolutionary. The probable future is a more plural
currency system in which the dollar remains dominant while national currencies
gain a larger role in bilateral and regional trade.
For India, simply replacing
the dollar with the Russian rouble would be impractical. India-Russia trade
expanded from around US$13 billion in 2021 to more than US$68 billion in
2024–25, mainly because of Russian oil exports to India. The relationship is
highly unbalanced: Russia exports far more to India than it imports from India.
This creates settlement problems because Russia may accumulate rupees that are
difficult to use. Therefore, a successful rupee-rouble mechanism requires India
to increase exports to Russia in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, machinery,
agriculture, chemicals, automobiles, engineering and services.
A similar caution applies to
the Chinese yuan. The renminbi is more internationally usable than the rouble
because of China’s enormous trade and manufacturing base, but excessive use of
the yuan could increase India’s strategic dependence on China. India imported
roughly US$132 billion from China in 2025–26, with the trade deficit exceeding US$100
billion. Given border tensions, market-access problems and strategic
competition, India should not replace dollar dependence with yuan dependence.
The preferred policy is currency diversification.
India’s ideal approach is
therefore a multi-currency settlement architecture. Trade with Russia could use
rupees and roubles where practical; trade with the UAE could use rupees and
dirhams; and other bilateral relationships could increasingly use local
currencies. Digital-rupee arrangements, payment-system interoperability, central-bank
swap arrangements and greater NDB lending in national currencies could reduce
transaction costs and provide protection against sanctions or payment
disruptions. Yet dollars and euros should continue to be used wherever they are
commercially efficient. India’s objective should be optionality rather than
ideological de-dollarisation.
The article also examines the
impact of Donald Trump’s trade and tariff policies. Trump threatened BRICS
countries with 100% tariffs if they backed a currency intended to replace the
dollar, and later spoke of an additional 10% tariff against countries aligning
with what he called “anti-American” BRICS policies. Such threats may
unintentionally encourage countries to develop alternatives to the dollar-based
financial system, because governments may fear excessive dependence on one country’s
financial infrastructure.
At the same time, India cannot
afford to treat the United States as an adversary. US-India trade in goods and
services reached roughly US$239.6 billion in 2025, and the United States
remains important for technology, services, pharmaceuticals, engineering,
investment and high-value exports. India’s strategy should therefore not be
framed as “America versus BRICS”. The danger is rather that unpredictable
tariffs and politically conditioned trade could make international commerce
more uncertain and encourage India to strengthen alternative partnerships.
For that reason, India should
resist allowing BRICS to become an anti-US alliance dominated by China and
Russia. India benefits simultaneously from relations with the United States,
Russia, Europe, Japan, Gulf countries and the wider Global South. Its strength
lies precisely in its ability to participate in BRICS, the G20 and the Quad
while maintaining ties across competing geopolitical blocs. If BRICS becomes a
practical mechanism for development finance, digital payments, food and energy
security, supply-chain diversification and institutional reform, India’s
influence will grow.
India-China relations and
energy security are also critical. Bilateral India-China trade is around US$155
billion, although India continues to run a very large deficit. BRICS may
provide a platform for stabilising relations without ignoring underlying
strategic disputes. Energy is equally important: Russia has at times supplied a
very large share of India’s crude imports, while instability in West Asia has
demonstrated India’s vulnerability to price shocks. The article notes Brent
crude approaching US$110 per barrel and the rupee weakening to about ₹95.7 per
US dollar on 11 September 2026.
In the long term, BRICS could
help India diversify export markets, attract investment, gradually
internationalise the rupee, develop alternative payment systems and press for
reform of institutions such as the UN Security Council, IMF and World Bank. India’s
strengths in UPI and digital public infrastructure could also allow it to shape
future cross-border payments. Successful management of BRICS would reinforce
India’s position as an independent pole in a multipolar world.
The article’s central conclusion is that India should avoid both pro-American dependence and anti-American BRICS alignment. It should pursue strategic autonomy supported by economic strength. India should use dollars where efficient, local currencies where practical, cooperate with Russia without becoming dependent on Russia, engage China without becoming economically subordinate to China, and maintain strong relations with the United States without surrendering foreign-policy independence. The long-term importance of the New Delhi summit may therefore lie not in creating a BRICS currency but in giving countries such as India multiple economic, financial and diplomatic options instead of dependence on a single centre of global power.
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