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How RBI Hike In Repo
Rates Affects Common People?
By Mr. Anup Mishra
Keep an eye on RBI, says investors, experts and traders. Should we be prepared
to pay more every month on your home, auto and other loans? Since RBI has
increased the repo rates 12 times in the last 18 months. Before discussion on
this, I would like to be very clear on some basics.
What is a basis point?
A basis point is nothing but one-hundredth of a percentage point.
People who took home loans and car loans in the last 18 months would have been
impacted much. The reason is Commercial banks Indusind Bank, Hdfc Bank, ICICI
Bank, Axis Bank & Kotak Mahindra Bank will have to pay more if they want to
borrow from RBI, but individual borrowers as well as corporations may not feel
the impact of the rate hike immediately as banks are not in a hurry to raise
their loan and deposit rates.
Over the last one and a half year, the RBI has raised the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR)
by over 100 basis points and the Policy rate by over 275 basis points. This in
effect means that banks have to face a net effect pressure of around 425 basis
points.
Take a scenario, a person took a home loan for 25 lakhs in EMI with commercial
banks like Indusind Bank, Hdfc Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank & Kotak Mahindra Bank
on May 2011. The rate of interest when he took a loan is 10.25%. If RBI
continues to increase the repo rates by 12 times in the next 18 months it will
highly impact the person who took the loan. Same case would reflect, if a person
buys a car worth Rs 5.2 Lakhs before a month.
Over 95% percentage of home loans is floating interest rate. The RBI appointed
bankingombudsman has been receiving a number of complaints from borrowers on the
mounting credit risks as a result of increasing interest rates.
Home loans are 2-3% are fixed rate loans today. Even though interest risk is
managed by banks, the risk is ultimately forced on the customer in a rising
interest rate scenario.
Floating rate loans pass on the interest rate risk from banks which are much
better placed to manage it to borrowers and thus banks only substitute interest
rate risk with potential credit risk.
If a decision on this comes through it will be for both own source funds and
borrowed source funds of banks.
I took few surveys related to RBI Actions. Here Kannan (Manager- Accounts) in a
Pvt Ltd Concern shared his views.
Continuous increase in inflation forced the RBI to continuously increase the
lending rate/the repo rate as one of the anti-inflationary actions to be taken.
Consequently, the commercial banks and other money lenders will increase their
rate of interest for the various types of common man loans.
At the end of the day the long tenure loan enjoyers particularly the people who
taken housing will be affected.
Due to the inconsistent and soaring rate of interest the fixed income people
will be the most affected.
The indirect decrease in their monthly income will result in their standard of
living down-fall.
Taking effective measures to control the inflation and success of the same may
result in decreased interest rates in future.
The RBI rate hike comes despite increasing criticism of RBI's hawkish policy.
Analysts and experts have started questioning if this hike will have any bearing
on inflation because of the upward revision in petrol prices. Many have also
started questioning the efficacy of the series of the rate hikes for 12th time
in 18 months.
Tapuriah Jain &
Associates
Chartered Accountants
21,. Skipper House, 9, Pusa
Road, New Delhi - 110 005
Tele : 91-11-28754012 &
13, Mobile : 91-98-100-46108, E-Mail :
caindia@hotmail.com
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